Racebets – The One-stop Destination For Horse Racing Betting! – Syndicate captain and racing expert Matt Bisogno gives us the second part of an interesting introduction to the theory of pools. To read the original article, click here or read part one, click here.
After looking at the basics of multi-race betting and the key areas of betting, the second part will focus on strategy and tactics in pool betting. This includes what to consider when designing your bets and how to manage your position when your ticket is live.
Racebets – The One-stop Destination For Horse Racing Betting!
Any day is a good day for pool betting from a fun point of view. Bets like Place 6 or win 6 promises to keep the punter involved in the race meeting for as many as six races and for a small stake.
Horse Racing: Sport Of Kings, Sport Of Quants
Colossus where the pools have significant liquidity on a daily basis, but they also have their share of sharp players. Due to the nature of multi-race pools, where players typically have several chances per race, a large result often requires an unexpected result to occur in more than one race.
So, in order to play pools properly, my betting pools theory is that players must have an opinion against at least two of the six races. By using the ABCX approach discussed earlier, it is possible not to over- or under-bet a bet, which recognizes the likelihood of the most races that are «chalk» (ie fancy horses make the frame) while still allowing for less expected results. , which can lower business.
Here is an example of place 6 where the first race is set up. This is a small pot, a typical feature of my bet because it gives the opportunity to ‘scoop the pot’, that is to win a draw.
The opening race on this Yarmouth card is a low grade handicap of 0-60 with several handicap debutants and the market is leaning towards one runner. The unexposed three-year-old Herringswell won at 10/1 on his first start in handicaps. He was third last time through the course and distance, beaten by half a length, so it was almost impossible to find.
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As you can see from the green bar at the bottom right of the image, the result is chopped units from almost 3,000 to just over 250.
The first three legs saw all the top horses on the market (favorite or second favorite) but in the fifth leg, where I had gone inside four horses, they placed two people outside the six. That said, Merhoob, my choice is saved, only 5/1 back 3/1 combined favorite, a 7/2 and 9/2 shot.
Less than ten units advanced to the final stage, with the third, fourth and fifth-ranked horses combined in the market filling the place.
It gives only 3.54 units to split the payout, which is my Syndicate ticket, which is a caveman game, including everything. We shared over three thousand pounds. Again, I must point out that the odds are good. return vs. stake, it’s ‘only’ 9/1.
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Before placing a multi-race bet, or indeed any pool bet, we must consider whether the return can be greater via another market medium. Specifically, will SP (especially if Best Odds Guaranteed can be used) or stock accumulator pay more?
Of course, we cannot know the answer to this in advance, but in general, in the theory of profit pools, it is wise to stay close to the top of the market. For example, if the 20/1 shot wins all the races in the series, I will almost certainly not have a runner who picks up. the reason is that if you multiply the odds of the other five winners in the six-leg bet by 21 (20/1), it is somewhere between fair and very likely that the payout pot will pay less than the SP or exchange accumulator bets. in the same six races.
The exception to this rule is if there is a large rollover or a very liquid pool. However, for your average Redcar jackpot, we need to stay close to the market head, bet in a different way, or pass the chance.
In the example below (5.00 to 7.30 race) there is a Rollover and the jackpot swelled to £30,000 for Wolverhampton evening tickets. The SP accumulator paid out £19,305 compared to the jackpot payout of £20,153.20. But the Betfair SP accumulator paid £33,798. And the winner of the highest price in this series is 8/1.
How To Win At Horse Racing (with Pictures)
One of the characteristics of multi-race pools, more than a single race win market, is a strong dominance of the market. This is largely a function of bad betting, bad bankroll management and / or insufficient bankroll, while players who take one or two per leg (see Part 1) rarely go beyond third or fourth in the betting chart.
Also, when they do, it’s usually a ‘Hail Mary’ pick at big odds, the exact same bet as the short priced runner. Obviously, this is severely suboptimal and is exactly what gives an advantage to smarter players. These longshots generally belong on the C ticket or in the bin.
A good example is leg five on the Yarmouth ticket above. 83% of the remaining units went there even though the 5/1 shot was saved. He is 5/1 fifth-favorite out of six and it is his market position rather than his odds that blew most of the remaining ticket holders out of the pool.
The market is generally right, or at least not far wrong. It is a good indicator of a horse’s chance, so there is a strong linearity between the two. This chart shows the speed of training win by odds. Ignoring the price of 18/5, which has very little data and is a big outlier, this graph illustrates very well the strong relationship between the price and the chance of winning.
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In Britain in the last five years, favorites have won a third of all races, favorites and second favorites combined have won just over half of all races and the top three in the betting have won two thirds of all races.
Therefore, in a random sample of six races, we can expect four of them, two thirds, to be won by the first three in the bet. The next implication is that we may need to look further down the chart for a pair of legs in a six leg bet.
What does this mean in practice? This means that throughout A, B and, usually only in multi-race winning pools, C, you must have a fair cover above the market; and somewhere in the series of races you have to risk some horses in the price again. However, this is usually in addition to, not at the expense of, the top of the market.
If you are not familiar with the term, a ‘steamer’ is a horse that has been protected, usually displayed with a blue background on odds comparison sites, while a ‘drifter’ is a horse that is weak in the market, usually with a pink background. on the odds comparison site.
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As a general principle, in races where the form is already established enough, I will note the market, but follow the study of my own form. The exception is in the main field handicap, where horses priced between 8/1 and 16/1 (roughly, not hard and fast) have received notable support.
I usually watch the market in the morning and then again an hour or so before the first race, which is when I start tapping the bets.
In the example above where the second favorite is weak and the third favorite is strong (the favorite is not shown), assuming I can see the reason for this in their form, I would most likely put both runners on B. If I can’t understand. the weakness of the ‘pink’ runner, I would probably play on A.
There is little ‘feeling’ associated with this. Players should also get to know the coach and owner. For example, horses owned by J P McManus are often put in defensive prices: odds that reflect the fact that they can be the subject of a bet, rather than showing the chance of the horse’s true form.
Virtual Horse Racing Betting: How It Works And Where To Play
Horses belonging to large or wealthy syndicates such as Elite Racing Club, Owners Group or Highclere Thoroughbreds are often overbet. Consideration of support for such a runner should be approached to see who can support it.
Likewise, horses that do something remarkably different for the first time in handicaps, come back from an exemption, or go up/down significantly in the trip deserve at least a second look. Does the coach have ‘before’ in such a scenario? Are horses bred for this extra distance?
This is a great tactic and one that is greatly underutilized. It can be implemented in several different scenarios, of which there are only a few.
Many races, especially non-disabled ones, have very cheap preferences and clear second choices. Sometimes this race can be 10/1+ bar front two. Depending on how the rest of your ticket looks – especially how many other races you have B and / or C picks – and how much bankroll you have,
How To Bet On Horse Racing
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